Game 822728

Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals

Nationals Park

Jun 2, 6:45 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

MIA

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WSH

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
MIA	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	3	7	8	1	Challenges remaining: 2
WSH	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	3	7	0	Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

WSH

MIA

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

WSH3MIA3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

WSH33%MIA100%

33%

100%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

WSH0%MIA0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

6 reviewed pitches so far • 4 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 46.0

RHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 53.0

LHP vs LHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 56.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Sinker

4 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-L

3 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot1 • Miami Marlins

Joe Mack challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Curtis Mead called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Overturned +25

Count Shift

Walk → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.14% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

Two OutsTie GameFull Count

Top2 • Washington Nationals

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Overturned +23

Count Shift

2-0 → 1-1

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.36% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

RISPLess Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 63%EV -1.36%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top2 • Washington Nationals

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 62

Confirmed -22

Count Shift

3-2

Base / Score

Bases Loaded • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.23% EV

Scenario Swing Index-22

RISPTwo OutsTie GameBases Loaded

OVR 44%EV -0.23%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top5 • Washington Nationals

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 40

Confirmed -14

Count Shift

2-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.85% EV

Scenario Swing Index-14

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 44%EV -0.85%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot5 • Miami Marlins

Joe Mack challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Jorbit Vivas called out on strikes.

Low Pressure • ELI 39

Overturned +18

Count Shift

3-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 4-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.16% EV

Scenario Swing Index+18

Two Outs

Top6 • Miami Marlins

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +21

Count Shift

Strikeout → 3-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 4-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.12% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21

Two Outs

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Curtis Mead vs Lake Bachar

Count Transition

Walk → Strikeout

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Bot 1 • Tie 0-0 • 2 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Sweeper

Velocity

86.7 MPH

Location

-0.77 x, 3.00 z

Umpire Count

Walk

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from Walk to Strikeout.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +0.00% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

63% overturn probability and -0.14% expected value at challenge time.