Game 822736

New York Mets at Washington Nationals

Nationals Park

May 19, 6:45 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

NYM

123456789320000100

WSH

12345678904320000—

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
NYM	3	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6	10	2	Challenges remaining: 1
WSH	0	4	3	2	0	0	0	0	—	9	9	0	Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

WSH

NYM

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

WSH3NYM1

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

WSH100%NYM0%

100%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

WSH0%NYM0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs LHB

LHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 40.5

LHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 58.0

RHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 60.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Sweeper

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top3 • Washington Nationals

Drew Millas challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Brett Baty called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Overturned +23

Count Shift

3-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 5-4

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.03% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

Two Outs

Top4 • New York Mets

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 36

Confirmed -13

Count Shift

2-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 5-7

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.65% EV

Scenario Swing Index-13

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 3%EV -0.65%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top4 • Washington Nationals

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 45

Overturned +20

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 5-7

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.35% EV

Scenario Swing Index+20

Two Outs

OVR 98%EV +0.35%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top8 • Washington Nationals

Drew Millas challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Nick Morabito called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 53

Overturned +24

Count Shift

1-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 6-9

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.56% EV

Scenario Swing Index+24

Two Outs

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Brett Baty vs Foster Griffin

Count Transition

3-2 → Strikeout

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 3 • 5-4 • 2 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Sweeper

Velocity

79.8 MPH

Location

0.66 x, 1.61 z

Umpire Count

3-2

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 3-2 to Strikeout.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by -2.29% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned challenge

63% overturn probability and +0.03% expected value at challenge time.