Game 822747

Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals

Nationals Park

Apr 21, 6:45 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

ATL

123456789011010010

WSH

12345678931001033—

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
ATL	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	4	8	0	Challenges remaining: 1
WSH	3	1	0	0	1	0	3	3	—	11	10	0	Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

WSH

ATL

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

WSH3ATL2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

WSH33%ATL50%

33%

50%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

WSH0%ATL0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

LHP vs RHB

25%

4 reviews

ELI 49.0

RHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 46.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Slider

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-L

3 reviews • 67% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top1 • Atlanta Braves

Ronald Acuña Jr. challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Ronald Acuña Jr. called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.40% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

Less Than 2 OutsTie GameFull Count

Top1 • Washington Nationals

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 53

Confirmed -19

Count Shift

3-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.35% EV

Scenario Swing Index-19

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 44%EV -0.35%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot1 • Washington Nationals

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +21

Count Shift

1-1 → 2-0

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.05% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 3%EV -1.05%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top2 • Atlanta Braves

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 39

Overturned +18

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • 0-3

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.98% EV

Scenario Swing Index+18

RISPTwo Outs

OVR 3%EV -0.98%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top8 • Washington Nationals

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 47

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

1-0

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 4-8

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.38% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

RISPTwo Outs

OVR 44%EV -0.38%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Ronald Acuña Jr. vs Foster Griffin

Count Transition

Strikeout

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 1 • Tie 0-0 • 0 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Cutter

Velocity

88.6 MPH

Location

0.75 x, 2.32 z

Umpire Count

Strikeout

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at Strikeout.

The review did not create a new state; Strikeout situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

39% overturn probability and -0.40% expected value at challenge time.