Game 822753
Nationals Park
Apr 8, 4:05 PM EDT
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
3 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned
Highest Risk Split
RHP vs RHB
RHP vs RHB
100%
1 review
ELI 53.0
RHP vs SHB
100%
1 review
ELI 51.0
LHP vs RHB
0%
1 review
ELI 66.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Sinker
1 reviews • 100% overturned
Most Active Lane
Bot-L
1 reviews • 100% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Bot1 • Washington Nationals
Medium Pressure • ELI 53
Count Shift
Strikeout → 2-2
Base / Score
1st and 3rd • Tie 0-0
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.78% EV
Bot4 • St. Louis Cardinals
Medium Pressure • ELI 51
Count Shift
2-0 → 1-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 2-1
Count Edge
-1.9 pts
Decision Read
Lean challenge • +1.10% EV
Top9 • Washington Nationals
High Pressure • ELI 66
Count Shift
3-2
Base / Score
Bases Loaded • 4-1
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Lean challenge • +1.84% EV
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Brady House vs Michael McGreevy
Count Transition
Strikeout → 2-2
Result
Call Overturned
Recorded Challenge
Game State
1st and 3rd
Bot 1 • Tie 0-0 • 0 outs
Home offense batting
Estimated Leverage
53
Pitch
Sinker
Velocity
88.5 MPH
Location
-0.85 x, 1.44 z
Umpire Count
Strikeout
Baseball Consequence
Count changed from Strikeout to 2-2.
Comparable game states move win expectancy by +0.00% from the corrected review state.
Decision Read
Model leaned hold
3% overturn probability and -0.78% expected value at challenge time.