Game 822804

Philadelphia Phillies at Toronto Blue Jays

Rogers Centre

Jun 10, 7:07 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

PHI

123456789103200100

TOR

123456789000001300

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
PHI	1	0	3	2	0	0	1	0	0	7	10	1	Challenges remaining: 2
TOR	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	4	8	0	Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

TOR

PHI

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

TOR0PHI2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

Mixed ConfidenceTORN/APHI100%

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

N/A

100%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

Mixed ConfidenceTORN/APHI0%

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

N/A

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

2 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 34.0

RHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 66.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-M

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot6 • Philadelphia Phillies

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 34

Overturned +15

Count Shift

3-0 → 2-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 6-0

Count Edge

-61.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.35% EV

Scenario Swing Index+15

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 44%EV -0.35%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -5.9 ptsBB -90.1 pts

Bot9 • Philadelphia Phillies

J.T. Realmuto challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Kazuma Okamoto called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 59

Overturned +27

Count Shift

1-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 7-4

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +1.29% EV

Scenario Swing Index+27

Two Outs

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Ernie Clement vs Jesús Luzardo

Count Transition

3-0 → 2-1

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Runner on 1st

Bot 6 • 6-0 • 1 out

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

96.5 MPH

Location

0.00 x, 1.49 z

Umpire Count

3-0

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 3-0 to 2-1.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +0.00% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

44% overturn probability and -0.35% expected value at challenge time.