Game 822806

Philadelphia Phillies at Toronto Blue Jays

Rogers Centre

Jun 8, 7:07 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

PHI

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TOR

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
PHI	0	2	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	7	1	Challenges remaining: 1
TOR	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	6	1	Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

TOR

PHI

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

TOR0PHI3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

Mixed ConfidenceTORN/APHI67%

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

N/A

67%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

Mixed ConfidenceTORN/APHI0%

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

N/A

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

3 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 40.0

RHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 48.0

RHP vs RHB

1 review

ELI 47.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

3 reviews • 67% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-M

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top3 • Philadelphia Phillies

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 40

Overturned +18

Count Shift

0-2 → 1-1

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 2-0

Count Edge

+17.1 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.49% EV

Scenario Swing Index+18

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 39%EV -0.49%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +17.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top6 • Philadelphia Phillies

Adolis García challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Adolis García called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 40

Confirmed -14

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 5-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.36% EV

Scenario Swing Index-14

Less Than 2 Outs

Top7 • Philadelphia Phillies

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 48

Overturned +22

Count Shift

2-1 → 3-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 5-2

Count Edge

+61.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.37% EV

Scenario Swing Index+22

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 39%EV -0.37%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +5.9 ptsBB +90.1 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Bryce Harper vs Patrick Corbin

Count Transition

0-2 → 1-1

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

1st and 2nd

Top 3 • 2-0 • 1 out

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

90.0 MPH

Location

-0.86 x, 2.55 z

Umpire Count

0-2

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 0-2 to 1-1.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +0.00% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

39% overturn probability and -0.49% expected value at challenge time.