Game 822807

Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays

Rogers Centre

Jun 7, 1:37 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

BAL

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TOR

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
BAL	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	4	8	1	Challenges remaining: 2
TOR	0	0	0	0	0	5	0	1	—	6	10	0	Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

TOR

BAL

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

TOR2BAL2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

TOR0%BAL100%

100%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

TOR50%BAL50%

50%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

67%

3 reviews

ELI 59.0

LHP vs RHB

1 review

ELI 60.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-L

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top2 • Baltimore Orioles

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Overturned +25

Count Shift

2-2 → 3-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+53.7 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.37% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

Two OutsTie Game

OVR 39%EV -0.37%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +17.4 ptsBB +55.6 pts

Bot6 • Toronto Blue Jays

Called Strike

High Pressure • ELI 66

Confirmed -23

Count Shift

3-2

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • Tie 4-4

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.09% EV

Scenario Swing Index-23

RISPTwo OutsTie Game

OVR 39%EV -0.09%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot7 • Toronto Blue Jays

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 60

Confirmed -21

Count Shift

1-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 4-5

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.03% EV

Scenario Swing Index-21

Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close

OVR 3%EV -1.03%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top8 • Baltimore Orioles

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 56

Overturned +25

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 4-5

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +1.71% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close

OVR 39%EV +1.71%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Colton Cowser vs Kevin Gausman

Count Transition

2-2 → 3-1

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 2 • Tie 0-0 • 2 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

92.9 MPH

Location

-0.78 x, 1.50 z

Umpire Count

2-2

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 2-2 to 3-1.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +0.35% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

39% overturn probability and -0.37% expected value at challenge time.