Game 822812

Miami Marlins at Toronto Blue Jays

Rogers Centre

May 25, 7:07 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

MIA

123456789100013030

TOR

123456789000011000

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
MIA	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	3	0	8	9	0	Challenges remaining: 2
TOR	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	2	10	0	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

TOR

MIA

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

TOR2MIA0

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

Mixed ConfidenceTOR50%MIAN/A

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

50%

N/A

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

Mixed ConfidenceTOR0%MIAN/A

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

N/A

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

2 reviewed pitches so far • 1 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 44.5

Most Targeted Pitch

Sinker

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-M

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top6 • Toronto Blue Jays

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

3-1

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 3-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.43% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

RISPTwo Outs

OVR 44%EV -0.43%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top8 • Toronto Blue Jays

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 38

Overturned +17

Count Shift

2-1 → 1-2

Base / Score

2nd and 3rd • 6-2

Count Edge

-17.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.01% EV

Scenario Swing Index+17

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 98%EV -0.01%MEDIUM RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.5 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Jakob Marsee vs Trey Yesavage

Count Transition

3-1

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

1st and 2nd

Top 6 • 3-1 • 2 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

94.1 MPH

Location

-0.85 x, 2.00 z

Umpire Count

3-1

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at 3-1.

The review did not create a new state; 3-1 situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

44% overturn probability and -0.43% expected value at challenge time.