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Game 822816

Pittsburgh Pirates at Toronto Blue Jays

Rogers Centre

May 22, 7:07 PM EDT

Pittsburgh Pirates Logo
Toronto Blue Jays Logo
Final
Status: Complete
Pittsburgh Pirates Logo
PIT

R

2

H

7

E

3

123456789100000010
Challenges remaining: 1
Toronto Blue Jays Logo
TOR

R

6

H

5

E

0

12345678900300003—
Challenges remaining: 0
Matchup123456789RHEABS
Pittsburgh Pirates Logo
PIT
100000010273
Challenges remaining: 1
Toronto Blue Jays Logo
TOR
00300003—650
Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

TOR
PIT

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

TOR3PIT1
3
1

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

TOR33%PIT0%
33%
0%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

TOR0%PIT0%
0%
0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 1 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

RHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 44.0

RHP vs LHB

0%

1 review

ELI 46.0

RHP vs SHB

0%

1 review

ELI 60.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-L

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot1 • Toronto Blue Jays

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

2-2

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 1-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.33% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16
Less Than 2 Outs
OVR 39%EV +0.33%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top2 • Pittsburgh Pirates

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Confirmed -15

Count Shift

0-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +3.09% EV

Scenario Swing Index-15
Less Than 2 Outs
OVR 67%EV +3.09%HIGH RE confidenceMEDIUM OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top3 • Toronto Blue Jays

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +21

Count Shift

2-0 → 1-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 1-0

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +1.60% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21
Less Than 2 Outs
OVR 63%EV +1.60%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top9 • Toronto Blue Jays

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 60

Confirmed -21

Count Shift

2-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 2-6

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.60% EV

Scenario Swing Index-21
Two Outs
OVR 63%EV +0.60%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
CFM2-2SinkerCFMKCFM

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Daulton Varsho vs Bubba Chandler

Count Transition

2-2

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Runner on 1st

Bot 1 • 1-0 • 1 out

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

46

Pitch

Sinker

Velocity

98.2 MPH

Location

0.78 x, 1.56 z

Umpire Count

2-2

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at 2-2.

The review did not create a new state; 2-2 situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned challenge

39% overturn probability and +0.33% expected value at challenge time.