Game 822830

Minnesota Twins at Toronto Blue Jays

Rogers Centre

Apr 11, 3:07 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

MIN

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TOR

123456789200000002

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
MIN	0	0	7	0	0	0	0	0	0	7	6	0	Challenges remaining: 2
TOR	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	4	5	0	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

TOR

MIN

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

TOR4MIN1

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

TOR75%MIN100%

75%

100%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

TOR0%MIN0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 4 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs RHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 46.5

RHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 33.5

LHP vs SHB

100%

1 review

ELI 47.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-R

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top1 • Toronto Blue Jays

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Overturned +25

Count Shift

2-0 → 1-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +2.57% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

Two OutsTie Game

OVR 63%EV +2.57%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top3 • Toronto Blue Jays

Brandon Valenzuela challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Victor Caratini called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 40

Overturned +18

Count Shift

3-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 4-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.17% EV

Scenario Swing Index+18

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

Top4 • Minnesota Twins

Austin Martin challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Austin Martin walks.

Low Pressure • ELI 33

Overturned +15

Count Shift

3-2 → Walk

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 7-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.20% EV

Scenario Swing Index+15

Two Outs

Bot4 • Toronto Blue Jays

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 28

Confirmed -10

Count Shift

0-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 7-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.48% EV

Scenario Swing Index-10

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 39%EV -0.48%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot6 • Toronto Blue Jays

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 39

Overturned +18

Count Shift

0-2 → 1-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 7-2

Count Edge

+17.1 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.10% EV

Scenario Swing Index+18

Two Outs

OVR 39%EV -1.10%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +17.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Luke Keaschall vs Eric Lauer

Count Transition

2-0 → 1-1

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 1 • Tie 0-0 • 2 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Cutter

Velocity

85.1 MPH

Location

-0.20 x, 3.25 z

Umpire Count

2-0

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 2-0 to 1-1.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +4.54% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned challenge

63% overturn probability and +2.57% expected value at challenge time.