Top2 • Toronto Blue Jays
Ball
Medium Pressure • ELI 55
Count Shift
3-0
Base / Score
1st and 2nd • Tie 0-0
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -11.71% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Game 822836
Rogers Centre
Mar 31, 11:07 PM UTC
Medium Pressure through inning 6
Home leads • Count 1-0 • 1 out
Challenge Now?
Top 6 • 1st and 2nd • 1-2
1-0 • MEDIUM
Next Ball Path
2-0
53% overturn
Next Strike Path
1-1
45% overturn
Current Run State
1.033
Current decision backdrop
Most Meaningful Flip
Called strike overturned to 2-0
Run Swing
+0.104
Model would challenge this spot. Estimated decision value: +7.48%.
Team vs Team Challenge Split
Reviews Used
How aggressively each club has entered the ABS game so far.
Overturn Rate
Who has turned reviews into wins more often tonight.
Average Leverage
Whether those reviews have come in louder spots or quieter ones.
Scenario Timeline
Top2 • Toronto Blue Jays
Medium Pressure • ELI 55
Count Shift
3-0
Base / Score
1st and 2nd • Tie 0-0
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -11.71% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Bot2 • Colorado Rockies
Medium Pressure • ELI 50
Count Shift
2-2 → Strikeout
Base / Score
Bases Empty • Tie 0-0
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.18% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Bot3 • Colorado Rockies
Medium Pressure • ELI 55
Count Shift
Walk
Base / Score
1st and 2nd • Tie 0-0
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.29% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Bot5 • Toronto Blue Jays
Medium Pressure • ELI 46
Count Shift
Strikeout
Base / Score
Bases Loaded • 0-2
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.65% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Tonight's Review Pattern
4 reviewed pitches so far • 1 overturned
Highest Risk Split
RHP vs LHB
RHP vs RHB
0%
3 reviews
ELI 52.0
RHP vs LHB
100%
1 review
ELI 50.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Sinker
1 reviews • 100% overturned
Most Active Lane
Bot-R
2 reviews • 50% overturned
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Brenton Doyle vs Max Scherzer
Count Transition
3-0
Result
Call Confirmed
Recorded Challenge
Game State
1st and 2nd
Top 2 • Tie 0-0 • 2 outs
Away offense batting
Estimated Leverage
55
Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
Velocity
93.4 MPH
Location
-0.37 x, 1.64 z
Count Before
3-0
Baseball Consequence
Review held the count at 3-0.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.000 from this review state.
Decision Read
Model favored holding
45% overturn probability and -11.71% expected value at challenge time.