Game 822836

Colorado Rockies at Toronto Blue Jays

Rogers Centre

Mar 31, 7:07 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

COL

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TOR

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
COL	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	7	0	Challenges remaining: 0
TOR	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	0	—	5	14	0	Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

TOR

COL

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

TOR2COL5

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

TOR0%COL60%

60%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

TOR0%COL0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

7 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

RHP vs RHB

20%

5 reviews

ELI 51.8

RHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 57.0

LHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 57.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Curveball

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-L

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top2 • Toronto Blue Jays

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Confirmed -19

Count Shift

3-0

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.48% EV

Scenario Swing Index-19

RISPTwo OutsTie Game

OVR 44%EV -0.48%MEDIUM RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot2 • Colorado Rockies

Hunter Goodman challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Nathan Lukes called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Overturned +23

Count Shift

2-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.04% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

Bot3 • Colorado Rockies

Hunter Goodman challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: George Springer walks.

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Confirmed -19

Count Shift

Walk

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.22% EV

Scenario Swing Index-19

RISPTwo OutsTie GameFull Count

Bot5 • Toronto Blue Jays

Kazuma Okamoto challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Kazuma Okamoto called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Loaded • 0-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.16% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

RISPLess Than 2 OutsBases Loaded

Bot6 • Colorado Rockies

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 57

Overturned +26

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-2

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -4.05% EV

Scenario Swing Index+26

Two Outs

OVR 98%EV -4.05%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top8 • Colorado Rockies

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 38

Overturned +17

Count Shift

2-2 → 3-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-5

Count Edge

+53.7 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.59% EV

Scenario Swing Index+17

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 3%EV -0.59%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +17.4 ptsBB +55.6 pts

Top8 • Colorado Rockies

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 47

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

1-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-5

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.60% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

Two Outs

OVR 3%EV -0.60%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Brenton Doyle vs Max Scherzer

Count Transition

3-0

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

1st and 2nd

Top 2 • Tie 0-0 • 2 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

93.4 MPH

Location

-0.34 x, 1.57 z

Umpire Count

3-0

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at 3-0.

The review did not create a new state; 3-0 situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

44% overturn probability and -0.48% expected value at challenge time.