Game 822969

Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays

Tropicana Field

Jun 9, 6:40 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

BOS

123456789001000020

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
BOS	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	6	1	Challenges remaining: 1
TB	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	0	—	4	12	0	Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

BOS

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

TB0BOS3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

Mixed ConfidenceTBN/ABOS67%

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

N/A

67%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

Mixed ConfidenceTBN/ABOS0%

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

N/A

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

3 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 51.0

LHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 46.0

RHP vs RHB

1 review

ELI 51.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Mid-L

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot4 • Boston Red Sox

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Overturned +23

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • 1-2

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.33% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

RISPTwo Outs

OVR 63%EV -0.33%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top6 • Boston Red Sox

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-3

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.29% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

Two Outs

OVR 39%EV -0.29%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot6 • Boston Red Sox

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +21

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-3

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.17% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 98%EV +0.17%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Ben Williamson vs Payton Tolle

Count Transition

1-0 → 0-1

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Runner on 2nd

Bot 4 • 1-2 • 2 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

93.9 MPH

Location

-0.77 x, 2.17 z

Umpire Count

1-0

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-0 to 0-1.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +0.00% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

63% overturn probability and -0.33% expected value at challenge time.