Game 822970

Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays

Tropicana Field

Jun 10, 1:10 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

BOS

123456789000000041

12345678900103102—

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
BOS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	1	5	6	0	Challenges remaining: 1
TB	0	0	1	0	3	1	0	2	—	7	13	0	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

BOS

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

TB2BOS2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

TB50%BOS50%

50%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

TB50%BOS100%

50%

100%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

LHP vs RHB

33%

3 reviews

ELI 70.3

RHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 34.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Slider

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-M

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot6 • Tampa Bay Rays

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 34

Overturned +15

Count Shift

1-1 → 2-0

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 0-4

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.31% EV

Scenario Swing Index+15

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 39%EV -0.31%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top9 • Boston Red Sox

Called Strike

High Pressure • ELI 70

Confirmed -25

Count Shift

3-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 5-7

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.40% EV

Scenario Swing Index-25

Two OutsLate & Close

OVR 39%EV +0.40%MEDIUM RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top9 • Boston Red Sox

Isiah Kiner-Falefa challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Isiah Kiner-Falefa walks.

High Pressure • ELI 65

Overturned +29

Count Shift

Strikeout → Walk

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 5-7

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.47% EV

Scenario Swing Index+29

Two OutsLate & CloseFull Count

Top9 • Tampa Bay Rays

Ball

High Pressure • ELI 65

Confirmed -23

Count Shift

3-0

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 5-7

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.01% EV

Scenario Swing Index-23

Two OutsLate & Close

OVR 98%EV -0.01%MEDIUM RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Cedric Mullins vs Ryan Watson

Count Transition

1-1 → 2-0

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Runner on 1st

Bot 6 • 0-4 • 1 out

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Cutter

Velocity

89.2 MPH

Location

-0.17 x, 3.21 z

Umpire Count

1-1

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-1 to 2-0.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +0.28% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

39% overturn probability and -0.31% expected value at challenge time.