Game 822972

Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays

Tropicana Field

Jun 8, 6:40 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

BOS

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
BOS	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	0	Challenges remaining: 1
TB	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	—	3	7	0	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

BOS

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

TB5BOS3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

TB80%BOS67%

80%

67%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

TB40%BOS33%

40%

33%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

8 reviewed pitches so far • 6 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs SHB

LHP vs RHB

60%

5 reviews

ELI 55.2

LHP vs SHB

100%

1 review

ELI 55.0

RHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 67.0

LHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 59.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

4 reviews • 75% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-R

4 reviews • 75% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top2 • Tampa Bay Rays

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Overturned +23

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-1

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +1.18% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

Two Outs

OVR 98%EV +1.18%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top3 • Boston Red Sox

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Confirmed -19

Count Shift

1-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 1-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.83% EV

Scenario Swing Index-19

Two OutsTie Game

OVR 39%EV +0.83%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot3 • Boston Red Sox

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Overturned +25

Count Shift

3-0 → 2-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 1-1

Count Edge

-61.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.80% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

Two OutsTie Game

OVR 44%EV -1.80%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -5.9 ptsBB -90.1 pts

Top4 • Tampa Bay Rays

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Overturned +25

Count Shift

2-1 → 1-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 1-1

Count Edge

-17.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -3.79% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

Two OutsTie Game

OVR 98%EV -3.79%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.5 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot5 • Tampa Bay Rays

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 52

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

2-2

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • Tie 1-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.32% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

RISPLess Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 67%EV -0.32%HIGH RE confidenceMEDIUM OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top7 • Tampa Bay Rays

Nick Fortes challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Caleb Durbin called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 60

Overturned +27

Count Shift

3-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 1-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +1.66% EV

Scenario Swing Index+27

RISPLess Than 2 OutsLate & Close

Top8 • Tampa Bay Rays

Nick Fortes challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Andruw Monasterio called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 56

Overturned +25

Count Shift

3-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.52% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close

Bot8 • Boston Red Sox

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 59

Overturned +27

Count Shift

1-1 → 0-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-3

Count Edge

-17.1 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.46% EV

Scenario Swing Index+27

Two OutsLate & Close

OVR 44%EV -1.46%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Isiah Kiner-Falefa vs Ian Seymour

Count Transition

1-0 → 0-1

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 2 • 0-1 • 2 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

91.3 MPH

Location

0.67 x, 2.86 z

Umpire Count

1-0

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-0 to 0-1.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +1.22% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned challenge

98% overturn probability and +1.18% expected value at challenge time.