Game 822973

Detroit Tigers at Tampa Bay Rays

Tropicana Field

Jun 3, 1:10 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

DET

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
DET	1	1	1	3	0	0	0	0	1	7	13	0	Challenges remaining: 0
TB	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	4	0	Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

DET

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

TB2DET2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

TB100%DET0%

100%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

TB0%DET0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 54.0

RHP vs LHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 53.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Sinker

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-M

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top2 • Tampa Bay Rays

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Overturned +23

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 1-1

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +1.71% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 63%EV +1.71%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot3 • Detroit Tigers

Jake Rogers challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Jonathan Aranda walks.

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Confirmed -15

Count Shift

Walk

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 3-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.13% EV

Scenario Swing Index-15

Less Than 2 OutsFull Count

Top8 • Detroit Tigers

Jake Rogers challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Jake Rogers called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 47

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 6-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.03% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

Two OutsFull Count

Top9 • Tampa Bay Rays

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 53

Overturned +24

Count Shift

2-0 → 1-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 7-2

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.14% EV

Scenario Swing Index+24

Two Outs

OVR 63%EV -0.14%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Matt Vierling vs Nick Martinez

Count Transition

1-0 → 0-1

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 2 • Tie 1-1 • 1 out

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Sinker

Velocity

92.2 MPH

Location

0.16 x, 1.63 z

Umpire Count

1-0

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-0 to 0-1.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +3.19% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned challenge

63% overturn probability and +1.71% expected value at challenge time.