Game 822975

Los Angeles Angels at Tampa Bay Rays

Tropicana Field

May 30, 4:10 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

LAA

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
LAA	4	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	7	14	11	0	Challenges remaining: 0
TB	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	3	6	0	Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

LAA

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

TB4LAA2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

TB50%LAA0%

50%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

TB0%LAA0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

6 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs SHB

RHP vs RHB

33%

3 reviews

ELI 40.3

RHP vs SHB

100%

1 review

ELI 45.0

LHP vs RHB

1 review

ELI 39.0

RHP vs LHB

1 review

ELI 52.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Slider

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-L

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot1 • Los Angeles Angels

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 39

Confirmed -14

Count Shift

2-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 4-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.41% EV

Scenario Swing Index-14

Two Outs

OVR 44%EV -0.41%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top4 • Tampa Bay Rays

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 33

Confirmed -12

Count Shift

1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 5-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.12% EV

Scenario Swing Index-12

Two Outs

OVR 44%EV -0.12%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot6 • Los Angeles Angels

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 52

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

2-2

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 6-3

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.28% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

Two Outs

OVR 63%EV +0.28%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot6 • Tampa Bay Rays

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 45

Overturned +20

Count Shift

1-1 → 2-0

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 6-3

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.61% EV

Scenario Swing Index+20

RISPTwo Outs

OVR 39%EV -0.61%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top9 • Tampa Bay Rays

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 44

Overturned +20

Count Shift

2-1 → 1-2

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 7-3

Count Edge

-17.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.01% EV

Scenario Swing Index+20

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 98%EV -0.01%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.5 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top9 • Tampa Bay Rays

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 44

Confirmed -15

Count Shift

1-0

Base / Score

Bases Loaded • 7-3

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.14% EV

Scenario Swing Index-15

RISPLess Than 2 OutsBases Loaded

OVR 63%EV -0.14%MEDIUM RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Nick Fortes vs Reid Detmers

Count Transition

2-1

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Bot 1 • 4-1 • 2 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

94.9 MPH

Location

-0.83 x, 1.93 z

Umpire Count

2-1

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at 2-1.

The review did not create a new state; 2-1 situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

44% overturn probability and -0.41% expected value at challenge time.