Game 823051

Texas Rangers at St. Louis Cardinals

Busch Stadium

Jun 3, 7:45 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

TEX

123456789001000200

STL

12345678910201100—

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
TEX	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	6	1	Challenges remaining: 1
STL	1	0	2	0	1	1	0	0	—	5	11	1	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

STL

TEX

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

STL2TEX3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

STL50%TEX67%

50%

67%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

STL50%TEX0%

50%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs LHB

LHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 56.5

RHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 46.0

LHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 51.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-L

3 reviews • 33% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot1 • Texas Rangers

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 56

Overturned +25

Count Shift

Walk → 3-2

Base / Score

Bases Loaded • 0-1

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.35% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

RISPTwo OutsBases Loaded

Bot1 • Texas Rangers

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Overturned +23

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-1

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.61% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

Two Outs

OVR 44%EV -0.61%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top4 • St. Louis Cardinals

Iván Herrera challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Ezequiel Duran called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 40

Overturned +18

Count Shift

3-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-3

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.18% EV

Scenario Swing Index+18

Less Than 2 Outs

Bot6 • Texas Rangers

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 45

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

1-0

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 1-4

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.41% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

Two Outs

OVR 44%EV -0.41%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot7 • St. Louis Cardinals

José Fermín challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: José Fermín called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-5

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.43% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

José Fermín vs MacKenzie Gore

Count Transition

Walk → 3-2

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Loaded

Bot 1 • 0-1 • 2 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

95.7 MPH

Location

-0.83 x, 2.38 z

Umpire Count

Walk

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from Walk to 3-2.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +0.00% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

44% overturn probability and -0.35% expected value at challenge time.