Game 823060
Busch Stadium
May 16, 2:15 PM EDT
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
2 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned
Highest Risk Split
LHP vs LHB
LHP vs LHB
100%
2 reviews
ELI 51.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
1 reviews • 100% overturned
Most Active Lane
Bot-R
1 reviews • 100% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Bot5 • Kansas City Royals
Medium Pressure • ELI 52
Count Shift
3-0 → 2-1
Base / Score
2nd and 3rd • Tie 1-1
Count Edge
-61.0 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.76% EV
Top8 • St. Louis Cardinals
Medium Pressure • ELI 50
Count Shift
1-1 → 0-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 1-3
Count Edge
-17.1 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -1.68% EV
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Nathan Church vs Noah Cameron
Count Transition
3-0 → 2-1
Result
Call Overturned
Recorded Challenge
Game State
2nd and 3rd
Bot 5 • Tie 1-1 • 0 outs
Home offense batting
Estimated Leverage
52
Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
Velocity
93.4 MPH
Location
0.54 x, 1.60 z
Umpire Count
3-0
Baseball Consequence
Count changed from 3-0 to 2-1.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.797 from the corrected review state.
Decision Read
Model leaned hold
63% overturn probability and -0.76% expected value at challenge time.