Game 823077

New York Mets at St. Louis Cardinals

Busch Stadium

Mar 31, 11:45 PM UTC

Game Live

In Progress

Count0-1

Outs

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
NYM	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	0	2	0	Challenges remaining: 1
STL	0	0	2	—	—	—	—	—	—	2	4	0	Challenges remaining: 2

Feed delayed. Showing last known state.

LiveUpdated 21h ago

Challenge cadence (last 10m)

InningBottom 4

Count0-1

Outs1

Score0 - 2

Away ABS1

Home ABS2

Inning 4·1 Out·Base state: 000·No challenge drama at this state yet

Live Review Pulse • Live

Estimated Leverage

40ELI

Medium Pressure through inning 4

Home leads • Count 0-1 • 1 out

Away (0)

Home (2)

STL remaining2

NYM remaining1

Current Review Spot

Challenge Now?

Bot 4 • Bases Empty • 0-2

Estimated Leverage40

0-1 • MEDIUM

Next Ball Path

1-1

53% overturn

Next Strike Path

0-2

45% overturn

Current Run State

0.254

Current decision backdrop

Most Meaningful Flip

Called strike overturned to 1-1

Run Swing

+0.019

Model would challenge this spot. Estimated decision value: +0.11%.

Live Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Challenge Split

STL

NYM

Reviews Used

How aggressively each club has entered the ABS game so far.

STL0NYM2

Overturn Rate

Who has turned reviews into wins more often tonight.

Mixed ConfidenceSTLN/ANYM50%

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

N/A

50%

Average Leverage

Whether those reviews have come in louder spots or quieter ones.

Mixed ConfidenceSTLN/ANYM41.0

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

N/A

41.0

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot2 • New York Mets

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +33

Count Shift

3-1 → 2-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

-27.7 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +2.43% EV

Scenario Swing Index+33

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 53%EV +2.43%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -4.0 ptsBB -27.8 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot4 • New York Mets

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 36

Confirmed -13

Count Shift

1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -0.12% EV

Scenario Swing Index-13

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 45%EV -0.12%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

2 reviewed pitches so far • 1 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 41.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Cutter

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Mid-L

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Jordan Walker vs Kodai Senga

Count Transition

1-0

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Bot 4 • 0-2 • 0 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Sweeper

Velocity

78.2 MPH

Location

-0.87 x, 2.61 z

Count Before

1-0

Baseball Consequence

Review held the count at 1-0.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.000 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored holding

45% overturn probability and -0.12% expected value at challenge time.