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Game 823081

Tampa Bay Rays at St. Louis Cardinals

Busch Stadium

Mar 26, 8:15 PM UTC

Tampa Bay Rays Logo
St. Louis Cardinals Logo
Final
Status: Complete
Matchup123456789RHEABS
Tampa Bay Rays Logo
TB
0000160007172
Challenges remaining: 2
St. Louis Cardinals Logo
STL
00100800—9140
Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Debrief generated Mar 29, 8:49 PM

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

STL
TB

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

STL1TB2
1
2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

STL0%TB100%
0%
100%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

STL100%TB50%
100%
50%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs RHB

RHP vs LHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 65.0

LHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 51.0

LHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 30.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-L

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top4 • Unknown

Foul

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Overturned +37

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-1

Count Edge

+0.2 pts

Run Value

-0.034 RE

Scenario Swing Index+37
Two Outs
HIGH RE confidenceAVG +0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot6 • Tampa Bay Rays

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 30

Overturned +22

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 7-3

Count Edge

+0.2 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +1.97% EV

Scenario Swing Index+22
Less Than 2 Outs
OVR 53%EV +1.97%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top9 • St. Louis Cardinals

Ball

High Pressure • ELI 65

Confirmed -23

Count Shift

Walk

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 7-9

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.74% EV

Scenario Swing Index-23
RISPTwo OutsLate & Close

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Top9 • Tampa Bay Rays

Ball

High Pressure • ELI 65

Overturned +47

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 7-9

Count Edge

-0.2 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -2.39% EV

Scenario Swing Index+47
RISPTwo OutsLate & Close
OVR 45%EV -2.39%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Narrative Intelligence

Game Debrief

Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.

The St. Louis Cardinals narrowly defeated the Tampa Bay Rays 9-7 at Busch Stadium, with the game’s narrative significantly shaped by the use of automated ball-strike (ABS) review. The matchup featured four challenges, three of which resulted in overturns, highlighting the technology’s impact in refining key pitch calls, especially in crucial late-inning moments.

ABS played a pivotal role in altering pitch counts and influencing hitter-pitcher dynamics. Notably, in the bottom of the ninth inning, Tampa Bay’s Jonathan Aranda benefited from an overturned ball call that shifted his count from 0-1 to 1-0, a subtle but potentially valuable momentum swing at a tense juncture in the game. Earlier, similar interventions occurred in the fourth and sixth innings when calls on Carson Williams and Nick Fortes were reversed, each time correcting the count in ways that likely affected plate discipline and approach. These instances suggest ABS maintained a high degree of accuracy, overturning calls where the initial judgment deviated from the precise strike zone, as corroborated by pitch tracking data on all reviewed pitches.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
OT1-0ChangeupBCFMK

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Carson Williams vs Matthew Liberatore

Count Transition

1-0 → 0-1

Result

Call Overturned

Count Changed

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 4 • 0-1 • 2 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

51

Pitch

Changeup

Velocity

89.5 MPH

Location

0.07 x, 2.42 z

Count Before

1-0

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-0 to 0-1.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by -0.034 from this review state.

Decision Read

No recommendation available

Model recommendation is unavailable for this review.

The breakdown of challenges shows the Rays were flawless in their use of ABS, securing overturns on both challenges they initiated, while the Cardinals succeeded on one out of their single challenge. This efficiency in challenge usage underscores the strategic value of ABS as a tool for both sides, particularly in tight counts and late-inning situations. The plate umpire’s overall rate of 3 out of 4 calls overturned further demonstrates how ABS has become a critical check on human judgment in ball-strike decisions.

While the data confirms ABS’s substantial influence on the flow and rhythm of the game, especially in count-sensitive scenarios, one overturned call was based on inferred pitch coordinates. Thus, while the evidence strongly supports ABS’s efficacy this game, conclusions about zone tendencies should remain measured pending broader data. Ultimately, the 9-7 outcome was one where technology visibly helped ensure the accuracy and fairness of pivotal pitch calls.

Debrief quality