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Game 823082

Tampa Bay Rays at St. Louis Cardinals

Busch Stadium

Mar 28, 6:15 PM UTC

Tampa Bay Rays Logo
St. Louis Cardinals Logo
Final
Status: Complete
Matchup12345678910RHEABS
Tampa Bay Rays Logo
TB
0000000041571
Challenges remaining: 0
St. Louis Cardinals Logo
STL
2000000202662
Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Debrief generated Mar 29, 8:50 PM

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

STL
TB

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

STL1TB2
1
2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

STL0%TB0%
0%
0%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

STL100%TB0%
100%
0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

3 reviewed pitches so far • 0 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

RHP vs RHB

0%

2 reviews

ELI 59.0

RHP vs LHB

0%

1 review

ELI 55.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

1 reviews • 0% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-M

1 reviews • 0% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top1 • Tampa Bay Rays

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Confirmed -19

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Hold • +0.10% EV

Scenario Swing Index-19
Two OutsTie Game

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Bot8 • Tampa Bay Rays

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 47

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-4

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -3.28% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16
Two Outs
OVR 45%EV -3.28%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Top9 • St. Louis Cardinals

Ball

High Pressure • ELI 71

Confirmed -25

Count Shift

1-0

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 3-4

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -3.52% EV

Scenario Swing Index-25
Two OutsLate & Close
OVR 45%EV -3.52%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Narrative Intelligence

Game Debrief

Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.

The St. Louis Cardinals edged the Tampa Bay Rays 6-5 in a tight contest at Busch Stadium, with Absence-Based System (AiBS) challenges playing a subtle yet telling role in the flow of the game. Despite three total challenges—one from the Cardinals and two from Tampa Bay—none were overturned, underscoring a consistent umpiring zone that withstood scrutiny late into a closely fought battle. All calls were confirmed, affirming the plate umpire’s control and providing no shifts in momentum from reversed decisions.

The challenges punctuated key innings, notably in the bottom of the 9th with Cardinals’ Pedro Pagés’ ball call confirmed, maintaining his team’s narrow lead at 4-3 and underscoring the game’s tight closing stretch. Earlier, the Rays had two challenges in the bottom of the 1st and 8th innings involving ball and strike calls at counts 2-3 and 1-0, both upheld, which kept Tampa Bay from pressing a scoring surge before falling behind. These moments highlight the game’s measured sequencing, reinforcing that while the Rays managed productive innings, the umpire’s zone held firm under pressure.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
CFM1-0Four-Seam FastballCFMCFM

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Carson Williams vs Ryne Stanek

Count Transition

1-0

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Runner on 1st

Top 9 • 3-4 • 2 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

71

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

97.1 MPH

Location

-0.02 x, 1.54 z

Count Before

1-0

Baseball Consequence

Review held the count at 1-0.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.000 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored holding

45% overturn probability and -3.52% expected value at challenge time.

Most active innings at the plate—bottom 1, 8, and 9—coincided with these pivotal challenge opportunities, illustrating how subtle strike zone calls anchored the game’s rhythm without provocation of overturned judgments. The early and late involvement in reviews demonstrates how AiBS can delineate tight strike-zone boundaries that influence scoring chances and preserve the game’s competitive structure. However, one review relied on inferred pitch coordinates, indicating that conclusions on umpire zones should be framed cautiously despite the tracked data supporting the majority of challenges.

Ultimately, the clean uphold of all three challenges reflected the umpire’s consistent strike zone throughout, contributing to a game defined by narrow margins and competitive balance rather than officiating disruptions. This suggests that in this matchup, AiBS served more as a confirmation tool than a game-altering influence, reinforcing an already well-officiated contest.

Debrief quality