Game 823130

New York Mets at Seattle Mariners

T-Mobile Park

Jun 3, 3:40 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

NYM

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SEA

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
NYM	1	0	0	4	1	0	0	1	0	7	14	0	Challenges remaining: 1
SEA	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	2	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

SEA

NYM

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

SEA3NYM2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

SEA67%NYM50%

67%

50%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

SEA0%NYM0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

67%

3 reviews

ELI 52.7

RHP vs LHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 40.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Changeup

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-L

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top1 • Seattle Mariners

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +1.41% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

Two Outs

OVR 63%EV +1.41%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot1 • Seattle Mariners

Randy Arozarena challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Randy Arozarena walks.

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Overturned +25

Count Shift

Strikeout → Walk

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 1-1

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.22% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

Two OutsTie GameFull Count

Bot3 • New York Mets

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +21

Count Shift

3-1 → 2-2

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • Tie 1-1

Count Edge

-53.7 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.33% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21

RISPLess Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 63%EV -0.33%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.4 ptsBB -55.6 pts

Top5 • Seattle Mariners

Eduard Bazardo challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Luis Torrens called out on strikes.

Low Pressure • ELI 34

Overturned +15

Count Shift

1-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Runner on 3rd • 6-1

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.06% EV

Scenario Swing Index+15

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

Bot6 • New York Mets

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 34

Confirmed -12

Count Shift

1-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 6-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.65% EV

Scenario Swing Index-12

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 63%EV +0.65%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Marcus Semien vs George Kirby

Count Transition

1-0

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 1 • 1-0 • 2 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Sweeper

Velocity

87.9 MPH

Location

0.86 x, 2.15 z

Umpire Count

1-0

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at 1-0.

The review did not create a new state; 1-0 situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned challenge

63% overturn probability and +1.41% expected value at challenge time.