Game 823135

Arizona Diamondbacks at Seattle Mariners

T-Mobile Park

May 29, 10:10 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

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SEA

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E	ABS
AZ	0	0	0	1	0	4	0	0	1	0	6	13	0	Challenges remaining: 2
SEA	1	0	2	0	2	1	0	0	0	1	7	13	0	Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

SEA

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

SEA3AZ0

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

Mixed ConfidenceSEA33%AZN/A

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

33%

N/A

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

Mixed ConfidenceSEA0%AZN/A

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

N/A

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

3 reviewed pitches so far • 1 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 48.5

RHP vs LHB

1 review

ELI 53.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Slider

2 reviews • 0% overturned

Most Active Lane

Mid-R

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top4 • Seattle Mariners

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 36

Overturned +16

Count Shift

1-1 → 0-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-3

Count Edge

-17.1 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +2.53% EV

Scenario Swing Index+16

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 63%EV +2.53%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top6 • Seattle Mariners

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 53

Confirmed -19

Count Shift

3-2

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 3-5

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.54% EV

Scenario Swing Index-19

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 63%EV +0.54%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top6 • Seattle Mariners

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 61

Confirmed -21

Count Shift

1-1

Base / Score

Bases Loaded • Tie 5-5

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.49% EV

Scenario Swing Index-21

RISPTwo OutsTie GameBases Loaded

OVR 63%EV -0.49%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Gabriel Moreno vs George Kirby

Count Transition

1-1 → 0-2

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 4 • 1-3 • 0 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Sinker

Velocity

96.8 MPH

Location

0.73 x, 2.33 z

Umpire Count

1-1

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-1 to 0-2.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +4.39% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned challenge

63% overturn probability and +2.53% expected value at challenge time.