Game 823159

New York Yankees at Seattle Mariners

T-Mobile Park

Mar 30, 9:40 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

NYY

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SEA

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
NYY	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	6	1	Challenges remaining: 2
SEA	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	9	1	Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

SEA

NYY

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

SEA0NYY5

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

Mixed ConfidenceSEAN/ANYY100%

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

N/A

100%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

Mixed ConfidenceSEAN/ANYY0%

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

N/A

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 5 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

100%

3 reviews

ELI 52.0

RHP vs LHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 46.5

Most Targeted Pitch

Slider

3 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-M

3 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top3 • New York Yankees

José Caballero challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: José Caballero walks.

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +21

Count Shift

Strikeout → Walk

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 0-1

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.27% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21

Less Than 2 OutsFull Count

Top3 • New York Yankees

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +21

Count Shift

1-1 → 2-0

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 0-1

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.54% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 39%EV -0.54%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top4 • New York Yankees

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Overturned +19

Count Shift

1-2 → 2-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-1

Count Edge

+17.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.97% EV

Scenario Swing Index+19

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 39%EV +0.97%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +17.5 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top4 • New York Yankees

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 53

Overturned +24

Count Shift

Strikeout → 2-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-1

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.21% EV

Scenario Swing Index+24

Less Than 2 Outs

Top4 • New York Yankees

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Overturned +23

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-1

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.08% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

Two Outs

OVR 39%EV -1.08%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

José Caballero vs Luis Castillo

Count Transition

Strikeout → Walk

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Runner on 1st

Top 3 • 0-1 • 1 out

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

95.7 MPH

Location

-0.18 x, 1.34 z

Umpire Count

Strikeout

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from Strikeout to Walk.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +0.00% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

39% overturn probability and -0.27% expected value at challenge time.