Game 823215
Oracle Park
Jun 10, 3:45 PM EDT
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
7 reviewed pitches so far • 4 overturned
Highest Risk Split
LHP vs LHB
LHP vs RHB
50%
2 reviews
ELI 47.5
RHP vs LHB
50%
2 reviews
ELI 44.5
LHP vs LHB
100%
1 review
ELI 55.0
RHP vs SHB
100%
1 review
ELI 47.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
3 reviews • 67% overturned
Most Active Lane
Top-L
3 reviews • 67% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Bot1 • San Francisco Giants
Medium Pressure • ELI 55
Count Shift
0-1 → 1-0
Base / Score
Bases Empty • Tie 0-0
Count Edge
+1.9 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.02% EV
Bot5 • San Francisco Giants
Medium Pressure • ELI 51
Count Shift
0-1 → 1-0
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 2-0
Count Edge
+1.9 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.63% EV
Top7 • Washington Nationals
Medium Pressure • ELI 47
Count Shift
0-1 → 1-0
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 9-1
Count Edge
+1.9 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.76% EV
Bot8 • San Francisco Giants
Medium Pressure • ELI 45
Count Shift
Strikeout → 3-2
Base / Score
1st and 2nd • 9-3
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Lean challenge • +0.08% EV
Bot8 • San Francisco Giants
Medium Pressure • ELI 48
Count Shift
Strikeout
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 9-6
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.43% EV
Top9 • Washington Nationals
Medium Pressure • ELI 44
Count Shift
0-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 10-6
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Lean challenge • +0.18% EV
Bot9 • Washington Nationals
Medium Pressure • ELI 44
Count Shift
2-1
Base / Score
Runner on 2nd • 10-6
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.12% EV
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Rafael Devers vs Foster Griffin
Count Transition
0-1 → 1-0
Result
Call Overturned
Recorded Challenge
Game State
Bases Empty
Bot 1 • Tie 0-0 • 2 outs
Home offense batting
Estimated Leverage
55
Pitch
Curveball
Velocity
77.6 MPH
Location
-0.49 x, 1.37 z
Umpire Count
0-1
Baseball Consequence
Count changed from 0-1 to 1-0.
Comparable game states move win expectancy by +1.21% from the corrected review state.
Decision Read
Model leaned hold
39% overturn probability and -0.02% expected value at challenge time.