Game 823218

Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants

Oracle Park

Jun 8, 9:45 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

WSH

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
WSH	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	4	8	2	Challenges remaining: 1
SF	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	3	13	0	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

WSH

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

SF2WSH2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

SF50%WSH50%

50%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

SF0%WSH0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

LHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 53.5

RHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 55.0

RHP vs RHB

1 review

ELI 50.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Sweeper

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot1 • Washington Nationals

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Overturned +23

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.46% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

RISPLess Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 63%EV -1.46%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot1 • San Francisco Giants

Willy Adames challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Willy Adames called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.09% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

RISPLess Than 2 OutsTie Game

Top3 • San Francisco Giants

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Overturned +25

Count Shift

2-0 → 1-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.70% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

Two OutsTie Game

OVR 98%EV +0.70%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top4 • Washington Nationals

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

1-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.85% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 3%EV -0.85%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Willy Adames vs Richard Lovelady

Count Transition

1-0 → 0-1

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

1st and 2nd

Bot 1 • Tie 0-0 • 1 out

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Sweeper

Velocity

82.0 MPH

Location

0.73 x, 1.95 z

Umpire Count

1-0

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-0 to 0-1.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by -1.84% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

63% overturn probability and -1.46% expected value at challenge time.