Game 823229

Miami Marlins at San Francisco Giants

Oracle Park

Apr 25, 4:05 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

MIA

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
MIA	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	6	0	Challenges remaining: 1
SF	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	2	—	6	11	1	Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

MIA

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

SF3MIA2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

SF33%MIA50%

33%

50%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

SF0%MIA0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 47.0

RHP vs LHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 41.0

RHP vs SHB

1 review

ELI 47.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Sinker

4 reviews • 25% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-M

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot5 • Miami Marlins

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 56

Overturned +25

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 1-1

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.45% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 63%EV -0.45%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot8 • Miami Marlins

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 38

Confirmed -13

Count Shift

1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-5

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.11% EV

Scenario Swing Index-13

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 63%EV -0.11%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot8 • San Francisco Giants

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 38

Overturned +17

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-5

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.24% EV

Scenario Swing Index+17

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 39%EV -0.24%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot8 • San Francisco Giants

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 47

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

3-2

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 1-5

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.42% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 3%EV -0.42%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top9 • San Francisco Giants

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 44

Confirmed -15

Count Shift

1-0

Base / Score

Runner on 3rd • 1-6

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.04% EV

Scenario Swing Index-15

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 98%EV +0.04%LOW RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Willy Adames vs Eury Pérez

Count Transition

1-0 → 0-1

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Bot 5 • Tie 1-1 • 1 out

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

98.2 MPH

Location

-0.00 x, 1.58 z

Umpire Count

1-0

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-0 to 0-1.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by -0.18% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

63% overturn probability and -0.45% expected value at challenge time.