Game 823237

Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants

Oracle Park

Apr 6, 9:45 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

PHI

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
PHI	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	0	0	6	11	0	Challenges remaining: 1
SF	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	11	0	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

PHI

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

SF1PHI4

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

SF0%PHI75%

75%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

SF0%PHI75%

75%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs LHB

RHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 47.5

RHP vs LHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 63.5

LHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 55.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Sinker

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top3 • San Francisco Giants

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 53

Confirmed -19

Count Shift

2-2

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.18% EV

Scenario Swing Index-19

RISPLess Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 63%EV +0.18%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot6 • Philadelphia Phillies

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Overturned +19

Count Shift

2-1 → 1-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 2-4

Count Edge

-17.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.49% EV

Scenario Swing Index+19

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 98%EV -0.49%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.5 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top7 • Philadelphia Phillies

Kyle Schwarber challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Kyle Schwarber walks. Justin Crawford to 3rd. Trea Turner to 2nd.

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Overturned +23

Count Shift

3-1 → Walk

Base / Score

Bases Loaded • 2-4

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.50% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

RISPLess Than 2 OutsLate & CloseBases Loaded

Top7 • Philadelphia Phillies

Justin Crawford challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Justin Crawford called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 59

Confirmed -21

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 6-4

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.43% EV

Scenario Swing Index-21

Two OutsLate & Close

Bot8 • Philadelphia Phillies

J.T. Realmuto challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Rafael Devers called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Overturned +23

Count Shift

Walk → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 6-4

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +1.42% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

Less Than 2 OutsLate & CloseFull Count

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Trea Turner vs Adrian Houser

Count Transition

2-2

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

1st and 2nd

Top 3 • Tie 0-0 • 0 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Changeup

Velocity

86.7 MPH

Location

-0.84 x, 1.53 z

Umpire Count

2-2

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at 2-2.

The review did not create a new state; 2-2 situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned challenge

63% overturn probability and +0.18% expected value at challenge time.