Game 823287

Cincinnati Reds at San Diego Padres

Petco Park

Jun 10, 4:10 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

CIN

123456789000200110

123456789100010021

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
CIN	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	1	0	4	10	0	Challenges remaining: 2
SD	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	5	11	0	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

CIN

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

SD2CIN4

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

SD50%CIN100%

50%

100%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

SD50%CIN50%

50%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

6 reviewed pitches so far • 5 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs SHB

RHP vs RHB

67%

3 reviews

ELI 62.0

RHP vs SHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 52.0

RHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 46.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Sinker

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot1 • Cincinnati Reds

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +21

Count Shift

1-1 → 0-2

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • 0-1

Count Edge

-17.1 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.29% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 63%EV -0.29%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot5 • Cincinnati Reds

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 48

Overturned +22

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 2-1

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.45% EV

Scenario Swing Index+22

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 63%EV +0.45%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top6 • San Diego Padres

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 56

Overturned +25

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 2-2

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +1.05% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 63%EV +1.05%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top7 • Cincinnati Reds

Ball

High Pressure • ELI 65

Overturned +29

Count Shift

1-2 → 2-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 3-2

Count Edge

+17.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.28% EV

Scenario Swing Index+29

Two OutsLate & Close

OVR 67%EV -0.28%HIGH RE confidenceMEDIUM OVR confidenceAVG +17.5 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top7 • San Diego Padres

Ball

High Pressure • ELI 65

Confirmed -23

Count Shift

1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.60% EV

Scenario Swing Index-23

Two OutsLate & Close

OVR 63%EV -0.60%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot7 • Cincinnati Reds

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 56

Overturned +25

Count Shift

1-1 → 0-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-2

Count Edge

-17.1 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +2.22% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close

OVR 44%EV +2.22%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Gavin Sheets vs Brady Singer

Count Transition

1-1 → 0-2

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Runner on 2nd

Bot 1 • 0-1 • 1 out

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Sinker

Velocity

91.2 MPH

Location

-0.77 x, 1.76 z

Umpire Count

1-1

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-1 to 0-2.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +0.00% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

63% overturn probability and -0.29% expected value at challenge time.