Game 823290

Cincinnati Reds at San Diego Padres

Petco Park

Jun 9, 9:40 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

CIN

123456789101101100000012

123456789101100200000010

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	R	H	E	ABS
CIN	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	8	0	Challenges remaining: 0
SD	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	12	1	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

CIN

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

SD2CIN7

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

SD50%CIN57%

50%

57%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

SD50%CIN71%

50%

71%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

9 reviewed pitches so far • 5 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs RHB

RHP vs RHB

60%

5 reviews

ELI 61.4

LHP vs RHB

67%

3 reviews

ELI 70.3

LHP vs LHB

1 review

ELI 66.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Sinker

3 reviews • 67% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-L

3 reviews • 67% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top3 • Cincinnati Reds

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +21

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 1-0

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.86% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 3%EV -0.86%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top4 • Cincinnati Reds

Blake Dunn challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Blake Dunn walks.

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Overturned +25

Count Shift

3-2 → Walk

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 2-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.86% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

Two OutsTie Game

Top6 • San Diego Padres

Freddy Fermin challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Matt McLain called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 52

Overturned +23

Count Shift

3-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 2-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.43% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

Top7 • Cincinnati Reds

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 60

Overturned +27

Count Shift

1-2 → 2-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 2-2

Count Edge

+17.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.82% EV

Scenario Swing Index+27

Less Than 2 OutsLate & CloseTie Game

OVR 39%EV -0.82%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +17.5 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top7 • Cincinnati Reds

Ball

High Pressure • ELI 71

Overturned +32

Count Shift

Strikeout → 1-2

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 2-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.12% EV

Scenario Swing Index+32

Less Than 2 OutsLate & CloseTie Game

Top7 • Cincinnati Reds

Eugenio Suárez challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Eugenio Suárez called out on strikes.

High Pressure • ELI 69

Confirmed -24

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 2-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.80% EV

Scenario Swing Index-24

Two OutsLate & CloseTie GameFull Count

Top8 • San Diego Padres

Freddy Fermin challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Matt McLain walks.

Medium Pressure • ELI 60

Confirmed -21

Count Shift

Walk

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 2-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.99% EV

Scenario Swing Index-21

Less Than 2 OutsLate & CloseTie GameFull Count

Top8 • Cincinnati Reds

Blake Dunn challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Blake Dunn called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 64

Confirmed -22

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

1st and 3rd • Tie 2-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.19% EV

Scenario Swing Index-22

RISPLess Than 2 OutsLate & CloseTie Game

Top11 • Cincinnati Reds

Called Strike

High Pressure • ELI 66

Confirmed -23

Count Shift

0-1

Base / Score

Runner on 3rd • Tie 3-3

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

No review • +0.00% EV

Scenario Swing Index-23

RISPLess Than 2 OutsLate & CloseTie Game

OVR 0%EV +0.00%LOW RE confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Sal Stewart vs Lucas Giolito

Count Transition

0-1 → 1-0

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

1st and 2nd

Top 3 • 1-0 • 1 out

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Curveball

Velocity

75.5 MPH

Location

0.22 x, 1.30 z

Umpire Count

0-1

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 0-1 to 1-0.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +0.00% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

3% overturn probability and -0.86% expected value at challenge time.