Game 823297

Oakland Athletics at San Diego Padres

Petco Park

May 24, 4:10 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

ATH

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
ATH	1	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	5	10	1	Challenges remaining: 0
SD	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2	9	0	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

ATH

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

SD2ATH3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

SD50%ATH33%

50%

33%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

SD0%ATH33%

33%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs LHB

LHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 37.0

RHP vs RHB

2 reviews

ELI 56.0

LHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 61.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Mid-L

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top2 • San Diego Padres

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 53

Confirmed -19

Count Shift

3-2

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 1-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.03% EV

Scenario Swing Index-19

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 63%EV -0.03%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot4 • Oakland Athletics

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 24

Overturned +11

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 4-0

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.39% EV

Scenario Swing Index+11

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 63%EV -0.39%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot8 • Oakland Athletics

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 59

Confirmed -21

Count Shift

1-0

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 4-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.20% EV

Scenario Swing Index-21

Two OutsLate & Close

OVR 63%EV -0.20%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot9 • San Diego Padres

Jackson Merrill challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Jackson Merrill walks.

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Overturned +23

Count Shift

Strikeout → Walk

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 5-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.99% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

Less Than 2 OutsFull Count

Bot9 • Oakland Athletics

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

3-0

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 5-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -6.82% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 98%EV -6.82%LOW RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Zack Gelof vs Michael King

Count Transition

3-2

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Runner on 1st

Top 2 • 1-0 • 1 out

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Sinker

Velocity

93.8 MPH

Location

0.92 x, 2.09 z

Umpire Count

3-2

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at 3-2.

The review did not create a new state; 3-2 situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

63% overturn probability and -0.03% expected value at challenge time.