Game 823298

Oakland Athletics at San Diego Padres

Petco Park

May 22, 9:40 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

ATH

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
ATH	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	8	0	Challenges remaining: 2
SD	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	3	—	7	7	0	Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

ATH

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

SD3ATH2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

SD100%ATH100%

100%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

SD0%ATH100%

100%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 5 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 53.5

LHP vs RHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 64.5

RHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 49.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Sinker

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

3 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top2 • San Diego Padres

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Overturned +23

Count Shift

2-1 → 1-2

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 2-2

Count Edge

-17.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -2.33% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 44%EV -2.33%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.5 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top4 • San Diego Padres

Rodolfo Durán challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Jeff McNeil called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Overturned +19

Count Shift

3-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.72% EV

Scenario Swing Index+19

Less Than 2 Outs

Top5 • San Diego Padres

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 57

Overturned +26

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-2

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.26% EV

Scenario Swing Index+26

Two Outs

OVR 44%EV -1.26%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top7 • Oakland Athletics

Ball

High Pressure • ELI 69

Overturned +31

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 3-3

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.76% EV

Scenario Swing Index+31

Two OutsLate & CloseTie Game

OVR 3%EV -0.76%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot7 • Oakland Athletics

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 60

Overturned +27

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 3-3

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.09% EV

Scenario Swing Index+27

Less Than 2 OutsLate & CloseTie Game

OVR 44%EV +0.09%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Henry Bolte vs Walker Buehler

Count Transition

2-1 → 1-2

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Runner on 1st

Top 2 • Tie 2-2 • 1 out

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Sinker

Velocity

94.1 MPH

Location

0.81 x, 2.75 z

Umpire Count

2-1

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 2-1 to 1-2.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by -4.26% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

44% overturn probability and -2.33% expected value at challenge time.