Game 823300

Oakland Athletics at San Diego Padres

Petco Park

May 23, 9:40 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

ATH

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
ATH	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	0	Challenges remaining: 0
SD	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	—	2	2	0	Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

ATH

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

SD1ATH3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

SD100%ATH33%

100%

33%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

SD0%ATH33%

33%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

RHP vs LHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 46.0

RHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 57.0

LHP vs LHB

1 review

ELI 50.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-L

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top2 • San Diego Padres

Freddy Fermin challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Zack Gelof called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +21

Count Shift

Walk → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.43% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21

Less Than 2 OutsTie GameFull Count

Bot2 • Oakland Athletics

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

3-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.69% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

Two Outs

OVR 63%EV -0.69%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top4 • Oakland Athletics

Tyler Soderstrom challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Tyler Soderstrom walks. Brent Rooker to 2nd.

Low Pressure • ELI 36

Overturned +16

Count Shift

3-2 → Walk

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 0-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.27% EV

Scenario Swing Index+16

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

Top7 • Oakland Athletics

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

1-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.15% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close

OVR 67%EV +0.15%HIGH RE confidenceMEDIUM OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Zack Gelof vs Lucas Giolito

Count Transition

Walk → Strikeout

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 2 • Tie 0-0 • 0 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Changeup

Velocity

79.1 MPH

Location

-0.64 x, 3.01 z

Umpire Count

Walk

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from Walk to Strikeout.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +0.00% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned challenge

98% overturn probability and +0.43% expected value at challenge time.