Game 823305
Petco Park
May 10, 4:10 PM EDT
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
3 reviewed pitches so far • 0 overturned
Highest Risk Split
RHP vs LHB
RHP vs LHB
0%
2 reviews
ELI 51.5
RHP vs RHB
0%
1 review
ELI 60.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
1 reviews • 0% overturned
Most Active Lane
Mid-R
1 reviews • 0% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Bot1 • San Diego Padres
Medium Pressure • ELI 60
Count Shift
3-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • Tie 0-0
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.40% EV
Top2 • San Diego Padres
Medium Pressure • ELI 57
Count Shift
3-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • Tie 0-0
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.52% EV
Top3 • St. Louis Cardinals
Medium Pressure • ELI 46
Count Shift
1-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • Tie 0-0
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.22% EV
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Xander Bogaerts vs Kyle Leahy
Count Transition
3-2
Result
Call Confirmed
Recorded Challenge
Game State
Bases Empty
Bot 1 • Tie 0-0 • 2 outs
Home offense batting
Estimated Leverage
60
Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
Velocity
94.6 MPH
Location
0.73 x, 2.24 z
Umpire Count
3-2
Baseball Consequence
Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at 3-2.
The review did not create a new state; 3-2 situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.
Decision Read
Model leaned hold
39% overturn probability and -0.40% expected value at challenge time.