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Game 823324

Detroit Tigers at San Diego Padres

Petco Park

Mar 28, 1:40 AM UTC

Detroit Tigers Logo
San Diego Padres Logo
Final
Status: Complete
Matchup123456789RHEABS
Detroit Tigers Logo
DET
000001040561
Challenges remaining: 2
San Diego Padres Logo
SD
000101000281
Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Debrief generated Mar 29, 8:50 PM

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

SD
DET

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

SD3DET1
3
1

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

SD67%DET100%
67%
100%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

SD0%DET100%
0%
100%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

RHP vs RHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 57.5

LHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 60.0

RHP vs LHB

0%

1 review

ELI 54.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-L

3 reviews • 67% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top3 • San Diego Padres

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Overturned +40

Count Shift

2-1 → 1-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

-0.9 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +1.80% EV

Scenario Swing Index+40
Two OutsTie Game
OVR 53%EV +1.80%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -1.6 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top4 • San Diego Padres

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 60

Overturned +43

Count Shift

Walk → 3-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.33% EV

Scenario Swing Index+43
Two OutsTie Game

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot7 • Detroit Tigers

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 60

Overturned +60

Count Shift

2-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 1-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.74% EV

Scenario Swing Index+60
Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Top9 • San Diego Padres

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 54

Confirmed -19

Count Shift

Walk

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 5-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.81% EV

Scenario Swing Index-19
Less Than 2 OutsFull Count

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Narrative Intelligence

Game Debrief

Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.

The Detroit Tigers secured a 5-2 victory over the San Diego Padres at Petco Park, with a pivotal theme emerging from the game’s ABS review process: the significant impact of overturned called strikes that altered critical counts and plate appearances. Out of four total challenges, three were successfully overturned, demonstrating the immediate influence of replay decisions on the rhythm and strategy of the innings.

The Padres were particularly active in challenging called strikes early, as two of Luis Campusano’s called strikes were overturned in the third and fourth innings. These two early challenges shifted counts from pitcher-favorable to more neutral or hitter-favorable, subtly disrupting what had been a tense, scoreless start. In contrast, the Tigers forced the decisive late-game review in the bottom of the seventh with Dillon Dingler, overturning a called strike that moved the count from an even 2-2 to a more advantageous 1-3 at a moment when the Tigers trailed by a single run. This adjustment in pitch count likely played a key role in tilting the at-bat and thus the momentum toward Detroit.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
B2-2Four-Seam FastballBBCFM

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Fernando Tatis Jr. vs Enmanuel De Jesus

Count Transition

2-2 → Strikeout

Result

Call Overturned

Plate Appearance Changed

Game State

Runner on 1st

Bot 7 • 1-2 • 1 out

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

60

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

95.3 MPH

Location

-0.76 x, 1.90 z

Count Before

2-2

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 2-2 to Strikeout.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.033 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored a challenge

53% overturn probability and +0.74% expected value at challenge time.

Overall, the plate umpire’s calls were challenged frequently and overturned 75 percent of the time, indicating a tight strike zone or marginal calls common in this early-season matchup. While the data included some inferred pitch coordinates, the consistency of overturned strikes suggests that small differences in strike zone interpretation had tangible effects on the flow of crucial plate appearances. These ABS interventions didn’t just correct calls—they subtly shaped the scorers’ paths to the final tally, reinforcing how replay technology can influence close contests on the field.

Debrief quality