Game 823371

Los Angeles Dodgers at Pittsburgh Pirates

PNC Park

Jun 11, 6:40 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

LAD

123456789003200210

PIT

123456789000040020

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
LAD	0	0	3	2	0	0	2	1	0	8	10	0	Challenges remaining: 0
PIT	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	2	0	6	12	0	Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

PIT

LAD

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

PIT2LAD3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

PIT0%LAD33%

33%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

PIT0%LAD33%

33%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 1 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 46.0

RHP vs LHB

1 review

ELI 51.0

RHP vs SHB

1 review

ELI 64.0

LHP vs LHB

1 review

ELI 56.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

2 reviews • 0% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-M

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top4 • Los Angeles Dodgers

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 40

Overturned +18

Count Shift

Strikeout → 3-2

Base / Score

Bases Loaded • 4-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.13% EV

Scenario Swing Index+18

RISPTwo OutsBases Loaded

Bot5 • Pittsburgh Pirates

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

0-1

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 5-3

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.24% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

RISPTwo Outs

OVR 67%EV -0.24%HIGH RE confidenceMEDIUM OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot5 • Pittsburgh Pirates

Jake Mangum challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Jake Mangum called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 57

Confirmed -20

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 5-4

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.36% EV

Scenario Swing Index-20

Two Outs

Top6 • Los Angeles Dodgers

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 52

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

0-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 5-4

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +4.55% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 67%EV +4.55%HIGH RE confidenceMEDIUM OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top7 • Los Angeles Dodgers

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 56

Confirmed -20

Count Shift

0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 5-4

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +1.86% EV

Scenario Swing Index-20

Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close

OVR 67%EV +1.86%HIGH RE confidenceMEDIUM OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Mookie Betts vs Mitch Keller

Count Transition

Strikeout → 3-2

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Loaded

Top 4 • 4-0 • 2 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Sinker

Velocity

91.5 MPH

Location

-0.13 x, 3.32 z

Umpire Count

Strikeout

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from Strikeout to 3-2.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +0.00% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

39% overturn probability and -0.13% expected value at challenge time.