Top2 • Pittsburgh Pirates
Called Strike
Medium Pressure • ELI 46
Count Shift
1-1 → 0-2
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 1-2
Count Edge
-17.1 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.47% EV
Game 823374
PNC Park
Jun 9, 6:40 PM EDT
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
8 reviewed pitches so far • 6 overturned
Highest Risk Split
RHP vs RHB
RHP vs RHB
100%
3 reviews
ELI 47.3
RHP vs LHB
50%
2 reviews
ELI 44.5
LHP vs SHB
100%
1 review
ELI 46.0
RHP vs SHB
100%
1 review
ELI 54.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
4 reviews • 100% overturned
Most Active Lane
Top-L
3 reviews • 67% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Top2 • Pittsburgh Pirates
Medium Pressure • ELI 46
Count Shift
1-1 → 0-2
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 1-2
Count Edge
-17.1 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.47% EV
Bot2 • Los Angeles Dodgers
Medium Pressure • ELI 46
Count Shift
1-0 → 0-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 1-2
Count Edge
-1.9 pts
Decision Read
Lean challenge • +0.34% EV
Top3 • Pittsburgh Pirates
Medium Pressure • ELI 46
Count Shift
1-0 → 0-1
Base / Score
Runner on 2nd • 1-2
Count Edge
-1.9 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.32% EV
Bot4 • Pittsburgh Pirates
Medium Pressure • ELI 46
Count Shift
0-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 1-2
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.71% EV
Top6 • Los Angeles Dodgers
Medium Pressure • ELI 48
Count Shift
0-2 → 1-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 1-2
Count Edge
+17.1 pts
Decision Read
Lean challenge • +1.78% EV
Top6 • Los Angeles Dodgers
Medium Pressure • ELI 48
Count Shift
1-2 → 2-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 1-2
Count Edge
+17.0 pts
Decision Read
Lean challenge • +1.91% EV
Top7 • Pittsburgh Pirates
Low Pressure • ELI 38
Count Shift
Walk
Base / Score
Bases Loaded • 6-2
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Lean challenge • +0.13% EV
Bot8 • Los Angeles Dodgers
Medium Pressure • ELI 47
Count Shift
2-2 → Strikeout
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 12-2
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Lean challenge • +0.09% EV
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Ryan Ward vs Paul Skenes
Count Transition
1-1 → 0-2
Result
Call Overturned
Recorded Challenge
Game State
Runner on 1st
Top 2 • 1-2 • 1 out
Away offense batting
Estimated Leverage
46
Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
Velocity
96.6 MPH
Location
-0.66 x, 3.21 z
Umpire Count
1-1
Baseball Consequence
Count changed from 1-1 to 0-2.
Comparable game states move win expectancy by +0.00% from the corrected review state.
Decision Read
Model leaned hold
44% overturn probability and -0.47% expected value at challenge time.