Game 823387

Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates

PNC Park

May 3, 1:35 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

CIN

123456789000000000

PIT

12345678900000001—

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
CIN	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	Challenges remaining: 0
PIT	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	—	1	5	0	Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

PIT

CIN

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

PIT6CIN2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

PIT67%CIN0%

67%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

PIT83%CIN50%

83%

50%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

8 reviewed pitches so far • 4 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs SHB

RHP vs RHB

50%

4 reviews

ELI 58.5

RHP vs SHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 60.5

RHP vs LHB

1 review

ELI 60.0

LHP vs RHB

1 review

ELI 71.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

3 reviews • 33% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-M

4 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot1 • Pittsburgh Pirates

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Overturned +23

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.16% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

RISPLess Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 39%EV -0.16%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot2 • Cincinnati Reds

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.00% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 98%EV +0.00%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot7 • Pittsburgh Pirates

Bryan Reynolds challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Bryan Reynolds walks.

Medium Pressure • ELI 60

Overturned +27

Count Shift

Strikeout → Walk

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.85% EV

Scenario Swing Index+27

Less Than 2 OutsLate & CloseTie GameFull Count

Top8 • Pittsburgh Pirates

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 64

Overturned +29

Count Shift

1-1 → 0-2

Base / Score

1st and 3rd • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

-17.1 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.02% EV

Scenario Swing Index+29

RISPLess Than 2 OutsLate & CloseTie Game

OVR 98%EV -0.02%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top8 • Pittsburgh Pirates

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 64

Overturned +29

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

1st and 3rd • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.02% EV

Scenario Swing Index+29

RISPLess Than 2 OutsLate & CloseTie Game

OVR 98%EV -0.02%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot8 • Pittsburgh Pirates

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 60

Confirmed -21

Count Shift

2-2

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.56% EV

Scenario Swing Index-21

Less Than 2 OutsLate & CloseTie Game

OVR 39%EV -0.56%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot8 • Pittsburgh Pirates

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 60

Confirmed -21

Count Shift

1-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.10% EV

Scenario Swing Index-21

Less Than 2 OutsLate & CloseTie Game

OVR 3%EV -1.10%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top9 • Cincinnati Reds

Called Strike

High Pressure • ELI 71

Confirmed -25

Count Shift

0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.78% EV

Scenario Swing Index-25

Two OutsLate & Close

OVR 3%EV -0.78%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Bryan Reynolds vs Chase Burns

Count Transition

0-1 → 1-0

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Runner on 2nd

Bot 1 • Tie 0-0 • 1 out

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

97.7 MPH

Location

-0.23 x, 1.49 z

Umpire Count

0-1

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 0-1 to 1-0.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +0.84% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

39% overturn probability and -0.16% expected value at challenge time.