Game 823459

Cleveland Guardians at Philadelphia Phillies

Citizens Bank Park

May 24, 1:35 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

CLE

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PHI

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
CLE	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	3	9	0	Challenges remaining: 1
PHI	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	6	1	Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

PHI

CLE

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

PHI3CLE2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

PHI33%CLE50%

33%

50%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

PHI33%CLE50%

33%

50%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs LHB

RHP vs RHB

2 reviews

ELI 58.0

LHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 50.0

RHP vs SHB

100%

1 review

ELI 56.0

LHP vs RHB

1 review

ELI 46.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot1 • Cleveland Guardians

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

3-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +1.82% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 98%EV +1.82%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot1 • Philadelphia Phillies

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Overturned +23

Count Shift

1-1 → 2-0

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.58% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 39%EV -0.58%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot6 • Philadelphia Phillies

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

0-1

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 2-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.75% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

RISPTwo Outs

OVR 3%EV -0.75%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot7 • Philadelphia Phillies

Called Strike

High Pressure • ELI 65

Confirmed -23

Count Shift

2-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 2-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.93% EV

Scenario Swing Index-23

Two OutsLate & Close

OVR 3%EV -0.93%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top8 • Cleveland Guardians

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 56

Overturned +25

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 2-1

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.73% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close

OVR 39%EV +0.73%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Trea Turner vs Parker Messick

Count Transition

3-1

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Bot 1 • Tie 0-0 • 0 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

92.8 MPH

Location

-0.99 x, 1.94 z

Umpire Count

3-1

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at 3-1.

The review did not create a new state; 3-1 situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned challenge

98% overturn probability and +1.82% expected value at challenge time.