Game 823462

Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies

Citizens Bank Park

May 20, 1:05 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

CIN

123456789030101202

PHI

123456789100003000

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
CIN	0	3	0	1	0	1	2	0	2	9	15	2	Challenges remaining: 1
PHI	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	4	6	1	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

PHI

CIN

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

PHI3CIN3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

PHI67%CIN67%

67%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

PHI67%CIN33%

67%

33%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

6 reviewed pitches so far • 4 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs RHB

LHP vs LHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 57.5

LHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 46.0

LHP vs SHB

100%

1 review

ELI 56.0

RHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 60.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-M

3 reviews • 67% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot1 • Cincinnati Reds

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +21

Count Shift

1-1 → 0-2

Base / Score

1st and 3rd • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

-17.1 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.45% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21

RISPLess Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 44%EV -0.45%MEDIUM RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top7 • Philadelphia Phillies

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 56

Overturned +25

Count Shift

3-1 → 2-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 5-4

Count Edge

-53.7 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.40% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close

OVR 44%EV -0.40%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.4 ptsBB -55.6 pts

Top7 • Philadelphia Phillies

Called Strike

High Pressure • ELI 65

Overturned +29

Count Shift

Walk → 3-2

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 5-4

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.15% EV

Scenario Swing Index+29

Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close

Top7 • Cincinnati Reds

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 60

Overturned +27

Count Shift

2-2 → 3-1

Base / Score

1st and 3rd • 5-4

Count Edge

+53.7 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.29% EV

Scenario Swing Index+27

RISPLess Than 2 OutsLate & Close

OVR 67%EV -0.29%MEDIUM RE confidenceMEDIUM OVR confidenceAVG +17.4 ptsBB +55.6 pts

Bot8 • Philadelphia Phillies

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 44

Confirmed -15

Count Shift

0-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 7-4

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.11% EV

Scenario Swing Index-15

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 39%EV -0.11%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top9 • Cincinnati Reds

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

0-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 7-4

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.20% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 39%EV -0.20%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Adolis García vs Andrew Abbott

Count Transition

1-1 → 0-2

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

1st and 3rd

Bot 1 • Tie 0-0 • 0 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

91.8 MPH

Location

0.25 x, 1.53 z

Umpire Count

1-1

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-1 to 0-2.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +0.00% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

44% overturn probability and -0.45% expected value at challenge time.