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Game 823488

Texas Rangers at Philadelphia Phillies

Citizens Bank Park

Mar 28, 8:05 PM UTC

Texas Rangers Logo
Philadelphia Phillies Logo
Final
Status: Complete
Matchup12345678910RHEABS
Texas Rangers Logo
TEX
10200000025102
Challenges remaining: 1
Philadelphia Phillies Logo
PHI
0000000031450
Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Debrief generated Mar 29, 8:51 PM

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

PHI
TEX

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

PHI4TEX1
4
1

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

PHI50%TEX0%
50%
0%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

PHI75%TEX0%
75%
0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

RHP vs RHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 66.0

RHP vs LHB

0%

2 reviews

ELI 43.5

LHP vs LHB

0%

1 review

ELI 60.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-L

3 reviews • 0% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top4 • Texas Rangers

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 39

Confirmed -14

Count Shift

1-2

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 3-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -1.74% EV

Scenario Swing Index-14
Two Outs
OVR 53%EV -1.74%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Bot8 • Philadelphia Phillies

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 48

Confirmed -17

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.72% EV

Scenario Swing Index-17
Less Than 2 Outs

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Top10 • Philadelphia Phillies

Called Strike

High Pressure • ELI 66

Overturned +48

Count Shift

2-1 → 1-2

Base / Score

1st and 3rd • Tie 3-3

Count Edge

-0.9 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +16.13% EV

Scenario Swing Index+48
RISPLess Than 2 OutsLate & CloseTie Game
OVR 53%EV +16.13%LOW RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -1.6 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top10 • Philadelphia Phillies

Called Strike

High Pressure • ELI 66

Overturned +48

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • 4-3

Count Edge

+0.2 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +5.39% EV

Scenario Swing Index+48
RISPLess Than 2 OutsLate & Close
OVR 53%EV +5.39%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot10 • Philadelphia Phillies

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 60

Confirmed -21

Count Shift

2-2

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 5-3

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +5.05% EV

Scenario Swing Index-21
RISPLess Than 2 OutsLate & Close
OVR 53%EV +5.05%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Narrative Intelligence

Game Debrief

Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.

The Texas Rangers edged the Philadelphia Phillies 5-4 at Citizens Bank Park in a closely contested matchup that featured a pivotal role for the Automated Ball-Strike (ABS) system. Throughout the game, there were five total challenges, with two overturned calls and three confirmed, highlighting the ABS system’s mixed efficacy in high-leverage situations. The plate umpire saw only 2 of 5 calls overturned, and the Phillies were the more active challenger group, overturning half of their calls, while the Rangers’ single challenge was unsuccessful.

The defining moment came late in the bottom of the 10th inning, a critical stretch where three of the five challenges occurred. J.T. Realmuto’s plate appearances became focal points for ABS intervention: two called strikes initially ruled against him were overturned by ABS, significantly altering the count from 1-0 to 0-1 and later from 2-1 to 1-2. These count changes demonstrate ABS’s capacity to impact at-bat outcomes by carefully adjusting the strike zone’s boundaries. However, Philadelphia’s challenge on Kyle Schwarber’s called strike later in the same inning was confirmed, underscoring that ABS does not guarantee overturns even in tight situations.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
B1-0Four-Seam FastballCFMCFMBCFM

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Jake Burger vs Jhoan Duran

Count Transition

1-0 → 0-1

Result

Call Overturned

Count Changed

Game State

Runner on 2nd

Top 10 • 4-3 • 1 out

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

66

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

99.1 MPH

Location

0.28 x, 1.63 z

Count Before

1-0

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-0 to 0-1.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by -0.084 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored a challenge

53% overturn probability and +5.39% expected value at challenge time.

The influence of ABS was most visible in late-game moments where pitch counts and strike zones were finely contested, and the system’s referrals played a noticeable role in maintaining a fair zone despite one challenge relying on inferred pitch coordinates, encouraging careful interpretation. While ABS offered clear benefits for Philadelphia in crucial late-and-close scenarios, its overall impact on game rhythm balanced the tides without decisively altering the outcome. This game highlighted both ABS’s precision and its limits within the natural ebb and flow of baseball’s judgment calls.

Debrief quality