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Game 823552

Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees

Yankee Stadium

May 4, 7:05 PM EDT

Baltimore Orioles Logo
New York Yankees Logo
Final
Status: Complete
Baltimore Orioles Logo
BAL

R

1

H

10

E

1

123456789000001000
Challenges remaining: 2
New York Yankees Logo
NYY

R

12

H

10

E

0

12345678920100306—
Challenges remaining: 1
Matchup123456789RHEABS
Baltimore Orioles Logo
BAL
0000010001101
Challenges remaining: 2
New York Yankees Logo
NYY
20100306—12100
Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

NYY
BAL

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

NYY4BAL0
4
0

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

Mixed ConfidenceNYY75%BALN/A

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

75%
N/A

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

Mixed ConfidenceNYY0%BALN/A

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

0%
N/A

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

RHP vs LHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 46.5

LHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 45.0

RHP vs SHB

0%

1 review

ELI 56.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-L

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top6 • New York Yankees

Austin Wells challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Leody Taveras walks. Dylan Beavers to 3rd. Pete Alonso to 2nd.

Medium Pressure • ELI 45

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

Walk

Base / Score

Bases Loaded • 0-3

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.57% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16
RISPTwo OutsBases LoadedFull Count

Bot6 • New York Yankees

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +21

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 1-3

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.63% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21
RISPLess Than 2 Outs
OVR 39%EV -0.63%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top7 • New York Yankees

Austin Wells challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Gunnar Henderson called out on strikes.

Low Pressure • ELI 38

Overturned +17

Count Shift

1-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 1-6

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.32% EV

Scenario Swing Index+17
Less Than 2 Outs

Bot8 • New York Yankees

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 47

Overturned +21

Count Shift

2-2 → 3-1

Base / Score

Bases Loaded • 1-7

Count Edge

+53.7 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.20% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21
RISPTwo OutsBases Loaded
OVR 67%EV -0.20%MEDIUM RE confidenceMEDIUM OVR confidenceAVG +17.4 ptsBB +55.6 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
CFM4-2Four-Seam FastballBKB

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Leody Taveras vs Cam Schlittler

Count Transition

Walk

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Loaded

Top 6 • 0-3 • 2 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

45

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

98.4 MPH

Location

-0.22 x, 1.45 z

Umpire Count

Walk

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at Walk.

The review preserved the original state; Walk situations typically carry +0.000 of run expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned challenge

63% overturn probability and +0.57% expected value at challenge time.