Game 823555

Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees

Yankee Stadium

May 3, 1:35 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

BAL

123456789001200000

NYY

12345678910200107—

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
BAL	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	9	1	Challenges remaining: 1
NYY	1	0	2	0	0	1	0	7	—	11	15	1	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

NYY

BAL

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

NYY2BAL3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

NYY50%BAL67%

50%

67%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

NYY0%BAL67%

67%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 54.5

RHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 56.5

LHP vs RHB

1 review

ELI 36.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

3 reviews • 67% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-R

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top4 • New York Yankees

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 36

Confirmed -13

Count Shift

1-0

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 1-3

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.25% EV

Scenario Swing Index-13

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 63%EV -0.25%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot4 • Baltimore Orioles

Orioles challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Austin Wells called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +21

Count Shift

3-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 3-3

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.80% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

Top7 • Baltimore Orioles

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 56

Overturned +25

Count Shift

2-1 → 3-0

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 3-4

Count Edge

+61.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.81% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close

OVR 3%EV -0.81%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +5.9 ptsBB +90.1 pts

Bot7 • Baltimore Orioles

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 60

Confirmed -21

Count Shift

1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-4

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.34% EV

Scenario Swing Index-21

Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close

OVR 44%EV -1.34%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top9 • New York Yankees

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 53

Overturned +24

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-11

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.08% EV

Scenario Swing Index+24

Two Outs

OVR 44%EV -0.08%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Tyler O'Neill vs Max Fried

Count Transition

1-0

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

1st and 2nd

Top 4 • 1-3 • 0 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Cutter

Velocity

92.2 MPH

Location

-0.59 x, 3.36 z

Umpire Count

1-0

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at 1-0.

The review did not create a new state; 1-0 situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

63% overturn probability and -0.25% expected value at challenge time.