Game 823556

Kansas City Royals at New York Yankees

Yankee Stadium

Apr 19, 1:35 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

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NYY

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
KC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	0	Challenges remaining: 0
NYY	3	1	0	0	3	0	0	0	—	7	7	0	Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

NYY

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

NYY2KC4

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

NYY0%KC50%

50%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

NYY0%KC0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

6 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs RHB

40%

5 reviews

ELI 41.0

RHP vs SHB

1 review

ELI 53.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

2 reviews • 0% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-L

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top1 • Kansas City Royals

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +21

Count Shift

2-2 → 3-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+53.7 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.64% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 3%EV -0.64%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +17.4 ptsBB +55.6 pts

Bot1 • New York Yankees

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 36

Confirmed -13

Count Shift

2-2

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 0-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.45% EV

Scenario Swing Index-13

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 39%EV -0.45%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot1 • Kansas City Royals

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 39

Confirmed -14

Count Shift

3-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-3

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.02% EV

Scenario Swing Index-14

Two Outs

OVR 98%EV -0.02%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top3 • Kansas City Royals

Maikel Garcia challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Maikel Garcia called out on strikes.

Low Pressure • ELI 33

Confirmed -12

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-4

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.47% EV

Scenario Swing Index-12

Two OutsFull Count

Top3 • Kansas City Royals

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 40

Overturned +18

Count Shift

Strikeout → 3-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-4

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

No review • +0.00% EV

Scenario Swing Index+18

Two Outs

Top9 • New York Yankees

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 53

Confirmed -19

Count Shift

1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-7

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.07% EV

Scenario Swing Index-19

Two Outs

OVR 63%EV -0.07%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Maikel Garcia vs Ryan Weathers

Count Transition

2-2 → 3-1

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 1 • Tie 0-0 • 0 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Sinker

Velocity

92.7 MPH

Location

-0.66 x, 1.29 z

Umpire Count

2-2

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 2-2 to 3-1.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +4.78% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

3% overturn probability and -0.64% expected value at challenge time.