Game 823618
Citi Field
Jun 10, 7:10 PM EDT
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
7 reviewed pitches so far • 6 overturned
Highest Risk Split
RHP vs LHB
RHP vs RHB
80%
5 reviews
ELI 48.8
RHP vs LHB
100%
1 review
ELI 33.0
LHP vs RHB
100%
1 review
ELI 39.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
2 reviews • 100% overturned
Most Active Lane
Mid-R
3 reviews • 100% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Top1 • St. Louis Cardinals
Medium Pressure • ELI 52
Count Shift
Strikeout → 3-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 2-0
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.08% EV
Bot2 • New York Mets
Low Pressure • ELI 36
Count Shift
Strikeout
Base / Score
Runner on 2nd • 2-0
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.73% EV
Bot3 • New York Mets
Low Pressure • ELI 33
Count Shift
0-1 → 1-0
Base / Score
Bases Loaded • 4-0
Count Edge
+1.9 pts
Decision Read
Lean challenge • +3.70% EV
Top5 • New York Mets
Low Pressure • ELI 39
Count Shift
1-1 → 0-2
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 8-2
Count Edge
-17.1 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.07% EV
Top8 • St. Louis Cardinals
Medium Pressure • ELI 54
Count Shift
Strikeout → 1-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 8-2
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Lean challenge • +0.03% EV
Bot8 • New York Mets
Medium Pressure • ELI 42
Count Shift
0-2 → 1-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 8-2
Count Edge
+17.1 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.20% EV
Top9 • New York Mets
Medium Pressure • ELI 53
Count Shift
1-0 → 0-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 9-2
Count Edge
-1.9 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.19% EV
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Nelson Velázquez vs Austin Warren
Count Transition
Strikeout → 3-2
Result
Call Overturned
Recorded Challenge
Game State
Bases Empty
Top 1 • 2-0 • 2 outs
Away offense batting
Estimated Leverage
52
Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
Velocity
94.6 MPH
Location
0.86 x, 2.29 z
Umpire Count
Strikeout
Baseball Consequence
Count changed from Strikeout to 3-2.
Comparable game states move win expectancy by +0.00% from the corrected review state.
Decision Read
Model leaned hold
67% overturn probability and -0.08% expected value at challenge time.