Game 823620
Citi Field
Jun 9, 7:10 PM EDT
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
2 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned
Highest Risk Split
RHP vs LHB
RHP vs LHB
100%
2 reviews
ELI 36.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
1 reviews • 100% overturned
Most Active Lane
Bot-M
1 reviews • 100% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Top3 • New York Mets
Low Pressure • ELI 33
Count Shift
Walk → 3-2
Base / Score
Runner on 3rd • 4-0
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.03% EV
Top6 • St. Louis Cardinals
Low Pressure • ELI 39
Count Shift
0-1 → 1-0
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 6-0
Count Edge
+1.9 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.59% EV
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Lars Nootbaar vs Freddy Peralta
Count Transition
Walk → 3-2
Result
Call Overturned
Recorded Challenge
Game State
Runner on 3rd
Top 3 • 4-0 • 1 out
Away offense batting
Estimated Leverage
33
Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
Velocity
93.2 MPH
Location
0.18 x, 1.56 z
Umpire Count
Walk
Baseball Consequence
Count changed from Walk to 3-2.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.015 from the corrected review state.
Decision Read
Model leaned hold
63% overturn probability and -0.03% expected value at challenge time.