Game 823622

Miami Marlins at New York Mets

Citi Field

May 30, 4:10 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

MIA

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NYM

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
MIA	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	6	1	Challenges remaining: 1
NYM	0	0	0	3	0	1	2	0	—	6	10	0	Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

NYM

MIA

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

NYM3MIA3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

NYM33%MIA67%

33%

67%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

NYM0%MIA0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

6 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

100%

3 reviews

ELI 53.3

RHP vs SHB

2 reviews

ELI 51.0

RHP vs RHB

1 review

ELI 47.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Cutter

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

3 reviews • 33% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top1 • Miami Marlins

Xavier Edwards challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Xavier Edwards called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.40% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

Top4 • New York Mets

Hayden Senger challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Jakob Marsee called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Overturned +23

Count Shift

Walk → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.24% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

Less Than 2 OutsTie GameFull Count

Top5 • New York Mets

Hayden Senger challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Christopher Morel walks.

Low Pressure • ELI 36

Confirmed -13

Count Shift

Walk

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 0-3

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.33% EV

Scenario Swing Index-13

Less Than 2 OutsFull Count

Bot5 • Miami Marlins

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Overturned +23

Count Shift

3-0 → 2-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-3

Count Edge

-61.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.01% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

Two Outs

OVR 44%EV -1.01%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -5.9 ptsBB -90.1 pts

Top8 • New York Mets

Hayden Senger challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Xavier Edwards walks.

Low Pressure • ELI 38

Confirmed -13

Count Shift

Walk

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 1-6

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.45% EV

Scenario Swing Index-13

Less Than 2 OutsFull Count

Top9 • Miami Marlins

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 48

Overturned +22

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-6

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.24% EV

Scenario Swing Index+22

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 3%EV -0.24%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Xavier Edwards vs Christian Scott

Count Transition

Strikeout

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 1 • Tie 0-0 • 0 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Sweeper

Velocity

80.3 MPH

Location

-0.76 x, 1.98 z

Umpire Count

Strikeout

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at Strikeout.

The review did not create a new state; Strikeout situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

39% overturn probability and -0.40% expected value at challenge time.