Game 823640

Minnesota Twins at New York Mets

Citi Field

Apr 21, 7:10 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

MIN

123456789000002102

NYM

123456789003000000

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
MIN	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	2	5	6	0	Challenges remaining: 0
NYM	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	4	0	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

NYM

MIN

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

NYM1MIN3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

NYM0%MIN33%

33%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

NYM100%MIN67%

100%

67%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 1 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 59.0

RHP vs LHB

2 reviews

ELI 57.5

Most Targeted Pitch

Sinker

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-L

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot4 • Minnesota Twins

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

3-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-3

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.14% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

Two Outs

OVR 63%EV +0.14%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top7 • Minnesota Twins

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 56

Overturned +25

Count Shift

1-2 → 2-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 2-3

Count Edge

+17.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.43% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close

OVR 39%EV +0.43%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +17.5 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot7 • New York Mets

Called Strike

High Pressure • ELI 69

Confirmed -24

Count Shift

3-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 3-3

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.62% EV

Scenario Swing Index-24

Less Than 2 OutsLate & CloseTie Game

OVR 67%EV +0.62%HIGH RE confidenceMEDIUM OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top9 • Minnesota Twins

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 62

Confirmed -22

Count Shift

0-1

Base / Score

Bases Loaded • 4-3

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.57% EV

Scenario Swing Index-22

RISPLess Than 2 OutsLate & CloseBases Loaded

OVR 39%EV -0.57%MEDIUM RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Carson Benge vs Simeon Woods Richardson

Count Transition

3-2

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Bot 4 • 0-3 • 2 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Splitter

Velocity

84.7 MPH

Location

-0.44 x, 3.43 z

Umpire Count

3-2

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at 3-2.

The review did not create a new state; 3-2 situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned challenge

63% overturn probability and +0.14% expected value at challenge time.