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Game 823647

Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Mets

Citi Field

Mar 29, 5:40 PM UTC

Pittsburgh Pirates Logo
New York Mets Logo
Final
Status: Complete
Matchup12345678910RHEABS
Pittsburgh Pirates Logo
PIT
1010000002471
Challenges remaining: 1
New York Mets Logo
NYM
0100100001391
Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Debrief generated Mar 29, 8:52 PM

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

NYM
PIT

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

NYM3PIT3
3
3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

NYM33%PIT33%
33%
33%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

NYM33%PIT0%
33%
0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

6 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs SHB

RHP vs LHB

25%

4 reviews

ELI 52.8

RHP vs SHB

100%

1 review

ELI 46.0

RHP vs RHB

0%

1 review

ELI 56.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-L

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top1 • New York Mets

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +33

Count Shift

2-1 → 1-2

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

-0.9 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +4.10% EV

Scenario Swing Index+33
RISPLess Than 2 OutsTie Game
OVR 53%EV +4.10%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -1.6 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot1 • Pittsburgh Pirates

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +33

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-0

Count Edge

+0.2 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.39% EV

Scenario Swing Index+33
Less Than 2 Outs
OVR 53%EV +0.39%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot2 • Pittsburgh Pirates

Pitch challenge

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Confirmed -19

Count Shift

Unavailable

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • Tie 1-1

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Run Value

+0.000 RE

Scenario Swing Index-19
RISPTwo OutsTie Game

Top5 • Pittsburgh Pirates

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 48

Confirmed -17

Count Shift

1-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 2-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.16% EV

Scenario Swing Index-17
Less Than 2 Outs
OVR 53%EV +0.16%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Bot5 • New York Mets

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 56

Confirmed -20

Count Shift

0-1

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • Tie 2-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +2.61% EV

Scenario Swing Index-20
RISPLess Than 2 OutsTie Game
OVR 53%EV +2.61%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Bot10 • New York Mets

Pitch challenge

Medium Pressure • ELI 62

Confirmed -22

Count Shift

Unavailable

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • 4-3

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Run Value

+0.000 RE

Scenario Swing Index-22
RISPLess Than 2 OutsLate & Close

Narrative Intelligence

Game Debrief

Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.

The Pittsburgh Pirates edged the New York Mets 4-3 at Citi Field in a tightly contested game where officiating and challenge outcomes subtly influenced momentum and strategy. Across six managerial challenges, only two were overturned, reflecting a generally consistent umpire performance, with the plate umpire’s zone upheld four times. Each team’s overturn success was evenly split, with one overturn apiece out of three attempts, highlighting the balanced use of video review.

Early in the bottom of the first inning, pivotal calls set the tone when the Pirates successfully challenged a called strike against Henry Davis, shifting the count from 1-0 to 0-1, and the Mets did the same for Luis Torrens on a separate pitch, flipping a 2-1 count to 1-2. These adjustments may have had marginal effects on at-bats by recalibrating pitch sequences but did not significantly alter run production in the opening frame. Later, a late-and-close challenge in the bottom of the 10th on a called pitch involving Juan Soto was confirmed and preserved the final score, underscoring the importance of sharp umpiring in tight situations.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
B1-0Four-Seam FastballCFMCFMB

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Juan Soto vs Carmen Mlodzinski

Count Transition

1-0 → 0-1

Result

Call Overturned

Count Changed

Game State

Bases Empty

Bot 1 • 1-0 • 1 out

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

46

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

94.2 MPH

Location

-0.72 x, 3.07 z

Count Before

1-0

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-0 to 0-1.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by -0.052 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored a challenge

53% overturn probability and +0.39% expected value at challenge time.

The distributions of challenges—primarily clustered in the first and fifth innings—reflect early efforts to influence the pace and mid-game dynamics, while a sole high-pressure review in extra innings exemplified the close finish. Notably, pitch-tracking data was available for four of the challenges, lending credibility to the umpire’s strike zone adjudication, which appeared firm despite two overturned calls on borderline strikes early on. These moments reinforce the layered role of the ABS system in maintaining fairness without dramatically interrupting game flow or overshadowing play.

While the sample of challenges is limited, the evidence reveals a game where rulings were carefully scrutinized but largely upheld, allowing the tight final score to hinge chiefly on execution rather than calls. The Pirates’ narrow victory was thus shaped more by on-field performance than overturns, though early count corrections and late clarity from ABS review played their supporting roles in this early-season duel.

Debrief quality